What explains international interest rate co-movement? / Annika Camehl, Gregor von Schweinitz ; editor: Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) - Member of the Leibniz Association

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What explains international interest rate co-movement?

Discovery

1858916488

URN

urn:nbn:de:gbv:3:2-987483

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dc.contributor.contributor

Publication history

Halle (Saale), Germany : Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) - Member of the Leibniz Association, [September 2023?]

Content

1 Online-Ressource (III, 37 Seiten, 1,71 MB) : Diagramme

Edition

This version: September 4, 2023

Language

eng

Comment

Abstract

We show that global supply and demand shocks are important drivers of interest rate co-movement across seven advanced economies. Beyond that, local structural shocks transmit internationally via aggregate demand channels, and central banks react predominantly to domestic macroeconomic developments: unexpected monetary policy tightening decreases most foreign interest rates, while expansionary local supply and demand shocks increase them. To disentangle determinants of international interest rate co-movement, we use a Bayesian structural panel vector autoregressive model accounting for latent global supply and demand shocks. We identify country-specific structural shocks via informative prior distributions based on a standard theoretical multi-country open economy model.

Series

IWH-Diskussionspapiere ; 2023, no. 3 (January 2023) [rev.] ppn:837399270

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