The 2015/2016 New Year's Eve Cologne event and anti-refugee crimes in Germany / Mohamad Alhussein Saoud
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Discovery
192050608X
URN
urn:nbn:de:gbv:3:2-1130565
DOI
ISBN
ISSN
Autorin / Autor
Beiträger
Körperschaft
Erschienen
Magdeburg : Otto-von-Guericke-Universität Magdeburg, Faculty of Economics and Management, [2025?]
Umfang
1 Online-Ressource (32 Seiten, 1,07 MB) : Diagramme
Ausgabevermerk
Sprache
eng
Anmerkungen
Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 27-32
Inhaltliche Zusammenfassung
During New Year’s Eve 2015/2016, the German city of Cologne witnessed mass sexual assaults and thefts by perpetrators described as having an Arab-African appearance. This paper studies whether the event in Cologne led to a backlash in crimes against refugees in Germany. Difference-in-differences regressions reveal a significant jump in anti-refugee crimes immediately after the event. This rise is driven by assaults and miscellaneous crimes and is more pronounced in North Rhine-Westphalia (where Cologne is located), in wealthier counties, in counties with a higher share of refugees, and in the counties that had a refugee reception center. The immediate rise in anti-refugee crimes is also higher in counties where a higher share of German suspects has been involved in crimes against foreign victims. Regarding longer-term repercussions, I find evidence for an anniversary effect a year later, i.e., a rise in anti-refugee crimes after the next New Year’s Eve.
Schriftenreihe
Working paper series ; 2025, no. 01 ppn:58927368X