Do online real estate listing prices gauge transaction prices (well)? : Evidence from novel near-real-time data / Michael Koetter, Felix Noth, Fabian Woebbeking ; editor: Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) - Member of the Leibniz Association

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Do online real estate listing prices gauge transaction prices (well)?

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1982502266

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urn:nbn:de:gbv:3:2-123456789-1201748

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dc.contributor.contributor

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Halle (Saale), Germany : Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) - Member of the Leibniz Association, 2026

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1 Online-Ressource (III, 16 Seiten, 0,67 MB) : Diagramme

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eng

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Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 8-10

Abstract

We show that online listing prices closely approximate transaction prices across Europe. Our validation uses the IWH European Real Estate Index (EREI), a near-real-time database of monthly purchase prices, rents, listing counts, and time on market for 1,154 NUTS-3 regions in 16 countries since April 2024. With publication lags as short as one month, validated listing prices offer a timely, comparable complement to official house price statistics. Purchase price levels correlate between 0.94 and 0.97 with transaction prices in the five most populous markets, while calibration slopes range from 0.95 to 1.00. Asking prices exceed transaction prices by 13% to 22%.

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IWH discussion papers ; 2026, no. 13 (August 2026) ppn:837399270

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